* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
Verisk Analytics, Inc. is an American data analytics and risk assessment firm based in Jersey City, New Jersey, with customers in insurance, natural resources, financial services, government, and risk management sectors. The company uses proprietary data sets and industry expertise to provide predictive analytics and decision support consultations in areas including fraud prevention, actuarial science, insurance coverage, fire protection, catastrophe and weather risk, and data management.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $291 M
Debt : $3,246 M
EBITDA : $1,447 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $2,955 M
Since Net Debt is covered by EBITDA within 3 years, 1 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Business services
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 34.80
Since Forward PE Ratio is between 25 - 35, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 18 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $529 M
Average Revenue: $1,951 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): 27.1%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is greater than 25, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $2,882 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $2,785 M
Last 5 Years Average Revenue Growth: 1%
Since Revenue Growth is between 0 - 5, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $143 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $165 M
Company is buying back its own shares, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $8.07
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $7.23
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $7.65
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $2
Payout Ratio: 22%
Dividend Yield: 1%
Since company Payout Ratio is less than 50, 2 points assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 13 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: 138.5%
Since Average ROE is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $266
52-Week Low: $258
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $296
Since Current price is within 15% threshold, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $37,987 M
Since Market Cap is between 10B - 100B, 2 points assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 3% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 28 points to above Verisk Analytics Inc (VRSK) stock.
Heads up: One or more P/E inputs look exaggerated and may skew the blend.
• ROE Based PE
50.00 (>2× median)
Further research is recommended; please use your own due diligence.In such cases, multiplying earnings by the long-run average P/E typically gives a closer, more reliable fair value.
Rule of thumb: Last 15 Years Avg P/E (31.09)
× EPS ($7.65) = $237.84.
Last 15 Years Avg PE 31.09, Fair Value PE 15, Industry Based PE 18, RCFC Based PE 33.7, ROE Based PE 50, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS) 17.08. Based on these 6 values, average assigned is 27.48. Value-Trades has assined P/E value 27.48. Since an average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is $7.65.
The fair value of Verisk Analytics Inc (VRSK) stock should be (27.48 x $7.65) = $210.21.
