* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
UMH Properties, Inc., which was organized in 1968, is a publicly owned REIT that owns and operates 124 manufactured home communities containing approximately 23,400 developed lots.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $100 M
Debt : $615 M
EBITDA : $105 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $515 M
Since EBITDA cannot cover net debt within 3 years, Avoid This Stock.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: REIT - Residential
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 111.54
Since Forward PE Ratio is greater than 35, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Average Free Cash Flow: $-15 M
Average Revenue: $101 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): -15%
Avg Free Cash Flow Growth Per Year (Last 5 Years): -564.97%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $241 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $164 M
Last 5 Years Average Revenue Growth: 9%
Since Revenue Growth is between 5 - 10, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $75 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $41 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.15
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.12
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.14
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $1
Payout Ratio: 614%
Dividend Yield: 5%
Since company Payout Ratio is greater than 50, 1 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is greater than 5, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Average ROE: 3%
Since Average ROE is less than 10, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $16
52-Week Low: $16
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $18
Since Current price is within 15% threshold, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $1,374 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 0.20% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 18 points to above UMH Properties Inc (UMH) stock.
Last 6 Years Avg PE (Limited to last 6 years of EPS data) 28.78, Fair Value PE 12, Industry Based PE is 20 and Growth based PE is 10. Based on these all values average assigned is 17.70.
Value-Trades has assined P/E value 17.70. Since an average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is $0.14.
The fair value of UMH Properties Inc (UMH) stock should be (17.70 x $0.14) = $2.48
