* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
Tesla, Inc. is an American electric vehicle and clean energy company based in Palo Alto, California. Tesla's current products include electric cars, battery energy storage from home to grid-scale, solar panels and solar roof tiles, as well as other related products and services. In 2020, Tesla had the highest sales in the plug-in and battery electric passenger car segments, capturing 16% of the plug-in market (which includes plug-in hybrids) and 23% of the battery-electric (purely electric) market. Through its subsidiary Tesla Energy, the company develops and is a major installer of solar photovoltaic energy generation systems in the United States. Tesla Energy is also one of the largest global suppliers of battery energy storage systems, with 3 GWh of battery storage supplied in 2020.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $15,587 M
Debt : $13,134 M
EBITDA : $13,777 M
Since Cash is greater than Total Debt, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Technology
Industry: Auto manufacturers
Based on sector, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 161.68
Since Forward PE Ratio is greater than 35, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 19 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $648 M
Average Revenue: $22,958 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): 2.8%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is less than 15, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $97,690 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $31,536 M
Last 5 Years Average Revenue Growth: 42%
Since Revenue Growth is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $3,517 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $3,249 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $2.49
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.64
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $2.07
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 0%
Dividend Yield: 0%
Since Dividend Per Share is less than or equal to 0, 0 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 15 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: -42.7%
Since Average ROE is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $334
52-Week Low: $210
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $241
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $1,076,881 M
Since Market Cap is greater than 1 Trillion, 5 points assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 5% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 21 points to above Tesla Inc (TSLA) stock.
Last 1 Years Avg PE 30.27, Fair Value PE 25, Industry Based PE 30, Growth Based PE 41, RCFC Based PE 12.26, ROE Based PE 10, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS) 17.08. Based on these 7 values, average assigned is 23.66. Value-Trades has assined P/E value 23.66. Since an average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is $2.065.
The fair value of Tesla Inc (TSLA) stock should be (23.66 x $2.065) = $48.86.
