* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $289 M
Debt : $352 M
EBITDA : $113 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $63 M
Since Net Debt is covered by EBITDA within 1 year, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Consumer staples
Industry: Specialty retail
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Message: Cannot calculate PE Ratio since EPS is either 0 or negative.
Using default values for calculation.
Forward PE Ratio (using default values): 20.00
Since Forward PE Ratio is between 20 - 25, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 6 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $158 M
Average Revenue: $436 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): 36.4%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is greater than 25, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $423 M
Revenue 5 Years Ago (2019-12-31): $148 M
Total Growth over 5 Years: 185.2%
5-Year Revenue CAGR (Historical): 23.3%
Forward 5-Year CAGR (Tapered): 16.3%
Since historical Revenue CAGR is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $665 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $648 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Message: Cannot calculate payout ratio because EPS is either 0 or negative.
Using default values for calculation.
Based on default values, 1 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 6 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: 70.2%
Since Average ROE is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $1
52-Week Low: $1
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $1
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $967 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 1% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Warren Buffett's Owners' Earnings:
Owners' Earnings (FCF/Share) (TTM ending 2025-06-30): $0.15
Owners' Earnings (FCF/Share, latest positive annual) (2024-12-31): $0.21
Note: Many fast-growing companies reinvest heavily, so Owners' Earnings may appear low.
Consider other factors in your valuation.
Value-Trade has assigned 25 points to above Olaplex Holdings Inc (OLPX) stock.
Heads up: One or more P/E inputs look exaggerated and may skew the blend.
• RCFC Based PE 36.35 (>2× median)
• ROE Based PE 50.00 (>2× median)
Further research is recommended; please use your own due diligence.
In such cases, multiplying earnings by the long-run average P/E typically gives a closer, more reliable fair value.
Last 3 Years Avg PE 14.4, Fair Value PE 15, Industry Based PE 15, Growth Based PE 16.32, RCFC Based PE 36.35, ROE Based PE 50, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS) 17.61. Based on these 7 values (after removing statistical outliers, n=6), average assigned is 25.05. The fair value of Olaplex Holdings Inc (OLPX) stock cannot be calculated since EBITDA and EPS are either 0 or negative.
