* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
The Norfolk Southern Railway is a Class I freight railroad in the United States, and is the current name of the former Southern Railway. With headquarters in Atlanta, Georgia, the company operates 19,420 route miles (31,250 km) in 22 eastern states, the District of Columbia, and has rights in Canada over the Albany to Montreal route of the Canadian Pacific Railway, and previously on CN from Buffalo to St. Thomas.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $1,641 M
Debt : $17,478 M
EBITDA : $6,056 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $15,837 M
Since Net Debt is covered by EBITDA within 3 years, 1 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Railroads
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 20.43
Since Forward PE Ratio is between 20 - 25, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 20 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $1,316 M
Average Revenue: $10,613 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): 12.4%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is less than 15, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $12,123 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $9,789 M
Last 5 Years Average Revenue Growth: 5%
Since Revenue Growth is between 0 - 5, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $226 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $257 M
Company is buying back its own shares, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $14.50
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $12.70
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $13.60
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $5
Payout Ratio: 40%
Dividend Yield: 2%
Since company Payout Ratio is less than 50, 2 points assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is greater than 1, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 20 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: 17.2%
Since Average ROE is between 10 - 20, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $278
52-Week Low: $199
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $229
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $62,772 M
Since Market Cap is between 10B - 100B, 2 points assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 3% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 19 points to above Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) stock.
Last 20 Years Avg PE 17.29, Fair Value PE 12, Industry Based PE 15, Growth Based PE 4, RCFC Based PE 19.92, ROE Based PE 23.8, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS) 17.08. Based on these 7 values, average assigned is 15.58. Value-Trades has assined P/E value 15.58. Since an average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is $13.6.
The fair value of Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) stock should be (15.58 x $13.6) = $211.95.
