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Stock: MGY
Book Value Per Share: $10.3
EPS: $1.75
Diluted EPS TTM: $2.02
Dividend Per Share: 0.56
Dividend Yield: 2.37 %
Dividend Payout Ratio: 32%
Price To Sales Ratio TTM: 3.311
Price To Book Ratio: 2.24
PEG Ratio: None
EV To EBITDA: 4.744
P/E Ratio: 11.47
Forward P/E Ratio: 12.56
Ex Dividend Date: 2025-05-12
Dividend Date: 2025-06-02
Current Price: $23.67
Previous Close: $23.82
52 Week Low: $18.96
52 Week High: $28.64
Earning Date (within 30 days): 2025-07-29
50 Day MA: $22.18
200 Day MA: $24.19
Link to Yahoo (Financial): MGY

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* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) ↓
Magnolia Oil & Gas Corporation is engaged in the acquisition, development, exploration and production of oil, natural gas and natural gas liquid reserves in the United States. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $260 M
Debt : $393 M
EBITDA : $953 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $132 M

Since Net Debt is covered by EBITDA within 1 year, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: ENERGY & TRANSPORTATION
Industry: CRUDE PETROLEUM & NATURAL GAS

Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 13.53

Since Forward PE Ratio is less than 15, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Average Free Cash Flow: $424 M
Average Revenue: $909 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash FLow(%): 47%
Avg Free Cash Flow Growth Per Year (Last 5 Years): 94.39%

Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is greater than 25, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $1,316 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $535 M
Last 5 Years Average Revenue Growth: 29%

Since Revenue Growth is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $186 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $166 M

Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.80
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.70
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $1.75
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $1
Payout Ratio: 32%
Dividend Yield: 3%

Since company Payout Ratio is less than 50, 2 points assigned.

Since Dividend Yield is greater than 2, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Average ROE: -14%

Since Average ROE is negative, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $24
52-Week Low: $19
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $22

Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $4,460 M

Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the calculated score, we recommend do not exceed 2% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 26 points to above Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) stock.
Last 8 Years Avg PE (Limited to last 8 years of EPS data) 11, Fair Value PE 15, Industry Based PE is 13 and Growth based PE is 15. Based on these all values average assigned is 13.50.
Value-Trades has assined P/E value 13.50. Since an average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is $1.75.
The fair value of Magnolia Oil & Gas Corp (MGY) stock should be (13.50 x $1.75) = $23.63

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