* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $33 M
Debt : $810 M
EBITDA : $96 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $776 M
Since EBITDA cannot cover net debt within 3 years, Avoid This Stock.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Restaurants
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 49.29
Since Forward PE Ratio is greater than 35, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Average Free Cash Flow: $-9 M
Average Revenue: $624 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): -1%
Avg Free Cash Flow Growth Per Year (Last 5 Years): 535.17%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $1,016 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $342 M
Last 5 Years Average Revenue Growth: 39%
Since Revenue Growth is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $62 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $59 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.44
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.26
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.35
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 0%
Dividend Yield: 0%
Since Dividend Per Share is less than or equal to 0, 0 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Average ROE: -3%
Since Average ROE is negative, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $17
52-Week Low: $13
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $15
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $1,055 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 0.20% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 9 points to above First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) stock.
Last 1 Years Avg PE (Limited to last 1 years of EPS data) 49.02, Fair Value PE 9, Industry Based PE is 25 and Growth based PE is 19. Based on these all values average assigned is 25.51.
Value-Trades has assined P/E value 25.51. Since an average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is $0.35.
The fair value of First Watch Restaurant Group Inc (FWRG) stock should be (25.51 x $0.35) = $8.93
