* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $40 M
Debt : $956 M
EBITDA : $1,948 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $916 M
Since Net Debt is covered by EBITDA within 1 year, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Energy
Industry: Oil & gas e&p
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 13.06
Since Forward PE Ratio is less than 15, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 20 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $-77 M
Average Revenue: $1,331 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): -5.7%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $5,251 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $1,083 M
Last 5 Years Average Revenue Growth: 77%
Since Revenue Growth is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $53 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $20 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $6.89
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $9.94
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $8.42
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $3
Payout Ratio: 33%
Dividend Yield: 3%
Since company Payout Ratio is less than 50, 2 points assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is greater than 2, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 17 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: -16.3%
Since Average ROE is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $110
52-Week Low: $79
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $91
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $5,837 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 2% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 21 points to above Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) stock.
Heads up: One or more P/E inputs look exaggerated and may skew the blend.
• Growth Based PE
50.00 (>2× median)
Further research is recommended; please use your own due diligence.In such cases, multiplying earnings by the long-run average P/E typically gives a closer, more reliable fair value.
Rule of thumb: Last 4 Years Avg P/E (11.59)
× EPS ($8.42) = $97.53.
Last 4 Years Avg PE 11.59, Fair Value PE 15, Industry Based PE 15, Growth Based PE 50, RCFC Based PE 12, ROE Based PE 10, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS) 17.08. Based on these 7 values, average assigned is 18.67. Value-Trades has assined P/E value 18.67. Since an average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is $8.415.
The fair value of Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) stock should be (18.67 x $8.415) = $157.09.
