* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
Aurora Innovation Inc. is a pioneering technology firm focused on developing cutting-edge autonomous vehicle systems aimed at enhancing transportation safety and efficiency. Leveraging advanced artificial intelligence and machine learning capabilities, the company is committed to providing scalable self-driving solutions across both passenger and commercial sectors. With strategic partnerships and a robust innovation pipeline, Aurora is strategically positioned in the rapidly evolving autonomous mobility market, underscoring its potential to deliver substantial long-term value and redefine the future of transportation.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $221 M
Debt : $11 M
EBITDA : $-843 M
Since Ebitda is less than 0, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Information technology
Industry: Information technology services
Based on industry, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Message: Cannot calculate PE Ratio since EPS is either 0 or negative.
Using default values for calculation.
Forward PE Ratio (using default values): 20.00
Since Forward PE Ratio is between 20 - 25, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 7 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $-472 M
Average Revenue: $25 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): -1,912.8%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2025-12-31): $3 M
Revenue 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $0 M
Total Growth over 5 Years: 0.0%
5-Year Revenue CAGR (Historical): 0.0%
Forward 5-Year CAGR (Tapered): 0.0%
Since historical Revenue CAGR is between 0 - 5, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2025-12-31): $1,839 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2021-12-31): $1,123 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $-0.45
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $-0.48
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.00
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 0%
Dividend Yield: 0.00%
⚠️ Caution: Negative earnings detected — Further research is recommended - Next Fiscal Yr EPS: $-0.45
- Latest/TTM EPS: $-0.48
Since Dividend Per Share is less than or equal to 0, 0 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 7 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: -42.2%
Since Average ROE is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $4.04
52-Week Low: $3.60
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $4.14
Since Current price is within 15% threshold, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $8,185 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 2% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Warren Buffett's Owners' Earnings:
No positive free cash flow found (TTM or annual) to compute Owners' Earnings per share.
Note: Many fast-growing companies reinvest heavily, so Owners' Earnings may appear low.
Consider other factors in your valuation.
Value-Trade has assigned 14 points to above Aurora Innovation Inc (AUR) stock.
Fair Value PE 20, Industry Based PE 25, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS) 17.65. Based on these 3 values, average assigned is 20.88. The fair value of Aurora Innovation Inc (AUR) stock cannot be calculated since EBITDA and EPS are either 0 or negative.
