* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
AST SpaceMobile, Inc. operates a space-based cellular broadband network for mobile phones. The company is headquartered in Midland, Texas.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $2,336 M
Debt : $2,222 M
EBITDA : $-385 M
Since Ebitda is less than 0, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Real estate & construction
Industry: Blank checks
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 2,461.97
Since Forward PE Ratio is greater than 35, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 8 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $-265 M
Average Revenue: $17 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): -1,583.5%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2025-12-31): $71 M
Revenue 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $6 M
Total Growth over 5 Years: 1,088.5%
5-Year Revenue CAGR (Historical): 64.1%
Forward 5-Year CAGR (Tapered): 32.0%
Since historical Revenue CAGR is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2025-12-31): $256 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2021-12-31): $52 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.04
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $-0.88
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.04
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 0%
Dividend Yield: 0.00%
⚠️ Caution: Negative earnings detected — Further research is recommended Since Dividend Per Share is less than or equal to 0, 0 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is less than 1, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 8 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: -43.0%
Since Average ROE is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $92.57
52-Week Low: $19.67
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $22.62
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $36,220 M
Since Market Cap is between 10B - 100B, 2 points assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on high P/E, we recommend do not exceed 0.20% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Warren Buffett's Owners' Earnings:
No positive free cash flow found (TTM or annual) to compute Owners' Earnings per share.
Note: Many fast-growing companies reinvest heavily, so Owners' Earnings may appear low.
Consider other factors in your valuation.
Value-Trade has assigned 10 points to above Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS) stock.
Heads up: One or more P/E inputs look exaggerated and may skew the blend.
• Growth Based PE 50.00 (>2× median)
Further research is recommended; please use your own due diligence.
In such cases, multiplying earnings by the long-run average P/E typically gives a closer, more reliable fair value.
Fair Value PE
12, Industry Based PE
18, Growth Based PE
50, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS)
17.65. Based on these 4 values, average assigned is
24.41. Value-Trades has assined P/E value
24.47. An average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is
$0.0376.
Note: Final fair value is the lesser of the blended PE-based fair value and the simple average PE × EPS fair value.Fair value using multiple P/Es (blended): $0.92 (PE 24.41 × EPS $0.04)
Fair value using simple average PE × EPS: $0.92 (PE 24.41 × EPS $0.04)
Lesser of these two: $0.92
So the Final Fair Value is: $0.92
Understanding the Value-Trades P/E Blend (click to expand)
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What goes into the blended P/E?
- 20-Year Avg P/E — Long-run market baseline; conservative anchor.
- Fair Value P/E — Score-based (cash, debt, sector, etc.).
- Industry P/E — Peer group norm.
- Growth-Based P/E — Uses tapered growth rates, floored at 15.
- RCFC-Based P/E — Maps cash conversion efficiency.
- ROE-Based P/E — Higher ROE supports higher multiples.
- Risk-Free Anchored P/E — Macro floor tied to 10y yield w/ MoS.
How it works
- Extreme values are clamped/filtered (IQR method).
- Anchors (20y avg, RCFC/ROE, risk-free) are always kept if valid.
- Final fair value = min(Blended PE × EPS, Avg PE × EPS).
P/E Reference Summary
Using EPS: $0.04
| Source |
P/E Ratio |
Implied Fair Value |
| Value-Trades Assigned | 24.47 | $0.92 |
