* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $13,248 M
Debt : $12,144 M
EBITDA : $7,387 M
Since Cash is greater than Total Debt, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Financial services
Industry: Asset management
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 15.89
Since Forward PE Ratio is between 15 - 20, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 19 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $-394 M
Average Revenue: $5,266 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): -7.5%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $26,114 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $2,354 M
Last 5 Years Average Revenue Growth: 202%
Since Revenue Growth is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $604 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $228 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $9.28
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $7.87
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $8.58
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $2
Payout Ratio: 23%
Dividend Yield: 1%
Since company Payout Ratio is less than 50, 2 points assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is greater than 1, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 17 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: -9.7%
Since Average ROE is non-positive, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $136
52-Week Low: $102
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $118
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $79,735 M
Since Market Cap is between 10B - 100B, 2 points assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 3% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 21 points to above Apollo Global Management LLC Class A (APO) stock.
Heads up: One or more P/E inputs look exaggerated and may skew the blend.
• Growth Based PE
50.00 (>2× median)
Further research is recommended; please use your own due diligence.In such cases, multiplying earnings by the long-run average P/E typically gives a closer, more reliable fair value.
Rule of thumb: Last 11 Years Avg P/E (14.81)
× EPS ($8.58) = $127.00.
Last 11 Years Avg PE 14.81, Fair Value PE 15, Industry Based PE 15, Growth Based PE 50, RCFC Based PE 12, ROE Based PE 10, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS) 17.08. Based on these 7 values, average assigned is 19.13. Value-Trades has assined P/E value 19.13. Since an average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is $8.575.
The fair value of Apollo Global Management LLC Class A (APO) stock should be (19.13 x $8.575) = $164.02.
