* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
American Tower Corporation (also referred to as American Tower or ATC) is an American real estate investment trust and an owner and operator of wireless and broadcast communications infrastructure in several countries worldwide and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $2,076 M
Debt : $45,213 M
EBITDA : $6,691 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $43,137 M
Since EBITDA cannot cover net debt within 3 years, Avoid This Stock.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Communication services
Industry: Telecom services
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 28.57
Since Forward PE Ratio is between 25 - 35, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Using last 20 overlapping fiscal years (max 20).Average Free Cash Flow: $1,630 M
Average Revenue: $5,061 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash Flow (%): 32.2%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is greater than 25, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $10,127 M
Revenue 5 Years Ago (2019-12-31): $7,580 M
Total Growth over 5 Years: 33.6%
5-Year Revenue CAGR (Historical): 6.0%
Forward 5-Year CAGR (Tapered): 5.4%
Since historical Revenue CAGR is between 5 - 10, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $468 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $446 M
Company is not buying back its own shares, 0 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $7.00
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $6.63
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $6.82
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $7
Payout Ratio: 97%
Dividend Yield: 3%
Since company Payout Ratio is greater than 50, 1 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is greater than 3, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Using last 20 valid ROE years (max 20).Average ROE: 21.2%
Since Average ROE is greater than 20, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $195
52-Week Low: $170
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $195
Since Current price is within 15% threshold, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $91,122 M
Since Market Cap is between 10B - 100B, 2 points assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 3% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Warren Buffet's Owners' Earnings:
Latest Positive Owners' Earnings (FCF/Share) (2024-12-31): $7.91
Note: Many highly growing companies reinvest heavily back into the business,
so their Owners' Earnings may appear very low. In such cases, other criteria should
be considered to assess the company’s true worth.
Value-Trade has assigned 27 points to above American Tower Corp (AMT) stock.
Heads up: One or more P/E inputs look exaggerated and may skew the blend.
• Last 4 Years Avg PE
40.00 (>2× median)
Further research is recommended; please use your own due diligence.In such cases, multiplying earnings by the long-run average P/E typically gives a closer, more reliable fair value.
Rule of thumb: Last 4 Years Avg P/E (40.00)
× EPS ($6.82) = $272.60.
Last 4 Years Avg PE
40, Fair Value PE
15, Industry Based PE
18, Growth Based PE
15, RCFC Based PE
32.2, ROE Based PE
21.25, Risk-Free Anchored PE (25% MoS)
17.61. Based on these 7 values (after removing statistical outliers, n=6), average assigned is
19.84. Value-Trades has assined P/E value
19.84. An average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is
$6.815.
Note: Final fair value is the lesser of the blended PE-based fair value and the simple average PE × EPS fair value.Fair value using multiple P/Es (blended): $135.23 (PE 19.84 × EPS $6.82)
Fair value using simple average PE × EPS: $272.60 (PE 40.00 × EPS $6.82)
Lesser of these two: $135.23
So the Final Fair Value is: $135.23
Understanding the Value-Trades P/E Blend (click to expand)
▾
What goes into the blended P/E?
- 20-Year Avg P/E — Long-run market baseline; conservative anchor.
- Fair Value P/E — Score-based (cash, debt, sector, etc.).
- Industry P/E — Peer group norm.
- Growth-Based P/E — Uses tapered growth rates, floored at 15.
- RCFC-Based P/E — Maps cash conversion efficiency.
- ROE-Based P/E — Higher ROE supports higher multiples.
- Risk-Free Anchored P/E — Macro floor tied to 10y yield w/ MoS.
How it works
- Extreme values are clamped/filtered (IQR method).
- Anchors (20y avg, RCFC/ROE, risk-free) are always kept if valid.
- Final fair value = min(Blended PE × EPS, Avg PE × EPS).
P/E Reference Summary
Using EPS: $6.82
Using Owners' Earnings (Latest FCF/Share): $7.91
Note: Many highly growing companies reinvest heavily back into the business,
so their Owners' Earnings may appear very low. In such cases, other criteria should
be considered to assess the company’s true worth.
| Source |
P/E Ratio |
Implied Fair Value |
| Market (1 Yr Ago) | 24.82 | $169.15 |
| 4 Yrs Avg-PE | 40 | $272.60 |
| Value-Trades Assigned | 19.84 | $135.21 |
| Owners' Earnings × 4 Yrs Avg-PE | 40 | $316.40 |
Note: Only 4 years of reliable P/E data available. Fair value is calculated using blended models to reduce bias.
