* Note: Prices are in Million (M) USD.
Description:
These criteria used Company's Cash, EBITDA and Debt balance to determines its fair value:
Cash : $602 M
Debt : $3,902 M
EBITDA : $660 M
Net Debt (Debt - Cash): $3,300 M
Since EBITDA cannot cover net debt within 3 years, Avoid This Stock.
This criteria used industry in which company operates:
Sector: Materials
Industry: Packaging & Containers
Based on industry, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Price To Earning (P/E) Ratio to determines its fair value:
Forward PE Ratio: 19.07
Since Forward PE Ratio is between 15 - 20, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to convert Sales into free cash flow to determine fair value:
Average Free Cash Flow: $20 M
Average Revenue: $4,085 M
Revenue Converted To Free Cash FLow(%): 0%
Since Free Cash Flow (FCF) to Revenue percentage is less than 15, 1 point assigned.
This criteria used company's growth potential to calculate its fair value:
Latest Revenue (2024-12-31): $4,908 M
Revenue 4 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $3,451 M
Last 5 Years Average Revenue Growth: 8%
Since Revenue Growth is between 5 - 10, 2 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's ability to buy back its own share:
Latest Share Count (2024-12-31): $598 M
Share Count 5 Years Ago (2020-12-31): $603 M
Company is buying back its own shares, 3 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's dividend payout ratio to determine its fair value:
Next Year Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.22
Trailing 12-Month Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.19
Average Earnings Per Share (EPS): $0.21
Dividend Per Share (DPS): $0
Payout Ratio: 195%
Dividend Yield: 10%
Since company Payout Ratio is greater than 50, 1 point assigned.
Since Dividend Yield is greater than 5, 5 points assigned.
This criteria used Company's Return On Equity (ROE%) to determine its fair value:
Average ROE: -38%
Since Average ROE is negative, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's current price to its 52 week low price to determines its fair value:
Current Price: $4
52-Week Low: $2
Threshold Price (15% Above 52-Week Low): $3
Since Current price is not within 15% threshold, 0 point assigned.
This criteria used Company's Market Cap to determines its fair value:
Market Capitalization: $2,247 M
Since Market Cap is less than 10B, 1 point assigned.
% Exposure to Total Portfolio
Based on the market cap, we recommend do not exceed 2% exposure of Total Portfolio.
Value-Trade has assigned 19 points to above Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) stock.
Last 4 Years Avg PE (Limited to last 4 years of EPS data) 26, Fair Value PE 12, Industry Based PE is 18 and Growth based PE is 10. Based on these all values average assigned is 16.50.
Value-Trades has assined P/E value 16.50. Since an average (Current Year EPS + Next Year EPS) earning per share is $0.205.
The fair value of Ardagh Metal Packaging SA (AMBP) stock should be (16.50 x $0.205) = $3.38
